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QQQ Seasonality

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Nasdaq Cumulative Volume

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Equity Money Flow

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Good morning Traders,
 
Sorry for the lack of an update last week, we’ve been busy behind the scenes here with some important changes that we’ll be rolling out this summer.  That being said, the market continues its wider consolidation since the 3/2 top.  In the interim, our Price Gap Stock Trader service has produced even more gains.  We’ll have the performance update below. 
 
But for now, this weekend we took a seasonal view of the financial markets.  Here’s that article:
 
A Seasonal View4/19/2015 10:15:58 AM
 
Good morning Traders,
 
With Friday’s weakness, a down-trending consolidation is in place.  The consolidation makes it difficult to leverage at trade in the rapid 1-2 day short term moves, but at some point, the market will break in one direction or the other out of the consolidation.  So we have to be prepared to act on that break.
 
That being said, let’s take a seasonal look at our key vehicles:
 
qqq seasonality
 
While I pointed the arrow lower, there’s a high likelihood of a continuation of the advance.  There hasn’t been more than one day of follow through on these large one day down moves in some time.
 
bond seasonality
 
Bonds are the key, but they’d have to move back and retest highs if the stock market is going to remain weak.
 
dollar seasonality
 
I’m still leaning towards the dollar consolidating the very large recent move higher.  That will help other assets.
 
gold seasonality
 
But gold is done – the move should continue lower for a long time…
 
uso seasonality
 
Oil on the other hand, has significant potential.  It’s not always driven by production and storage levels.
 
natural gas seasonality
 
Nat Gas is relatively new for us, so we’re still looking at underlying trading patterns in the derivatives to draw more conclusive trading.  We look at about 10 variables of trading these commodities for correlative approaches to trading.  We’re not rushing it.  But we’ll periodically test our findings with trades when the opportunities arise. 
 
Putting it all together, the stock market could break here, but the consolidation that started with the 3/2 peak is continuing and behaves pretty normal.  I’d expect a day of weakness and a pause then another push higher to bring this 5 year rally to a more significant end…
 
Regards,
 
——————————————————
 
Turning our focus back towards our Stock Trading Advice, here’s Damon’s performance Update – with a special offer to get our LPPL Report free - this report will govern the markets downturn when this 6 year bull market finally breaks. 
 
to Damon Verial’s Price Gap Stock Trader for only $1 and if you sign up this week, you’ll get our LPPL Report at no extra cost.  Use Discount Code PGS1 when signing up.
 
Subscribe Now - only $1
 
Performance Report4/6/2015 9:33:38 PM

Let’s start with the most important facts:

Average return on all trades: 3%
Average win-to-loss ratio: 11:8
Average annual percent return: 139%
Average trade duration: 26.6 days
Average win: 8.2%
Average loss: 4%
Profit-to-loss ratio: 21:10
 
Below are the facts for each trade:
 
 
And a chart:
 
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Our 3 best trades:

 
#3
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#2
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#1
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Conclusion

 
Our gap trading portfolio beat the S&P500, allowing us to profit while the market is down overall. The key was identifying two types of gaps and profiting on them. Our area gaps helped is bring is small but reliable profits, while breakaway gaps allowed us to reap huge profits:
 
Area Gaps: Closed quickly for small but reliable profits
Breakaway Gaps: Riskier but allows normal stock to act like penny stock, growing quickly within a short time.
 
You would make more money by blindly investing in my gap trades without closing on time as well. Stocks with breakaway gaps outperform the market as a whole. Our results are the result of unique forecasting abilities that I have outlined several times: Candlesticks + Gaps + Technicals = Accurate Prediction
 
This month, we witnessed our best gap trade yet in EYES, giving us a 23% profit in only 2 weeks. Had you bought call options, you could have made an even higher ROI. A $100 call option, or example, would be worth almost $400 at the time of our close. My goal for April – a time that is seeing some hesitation in the market – is to play more short-term area gaps, which tend to be more reliable in a bear market. If you have any suggestions for this service, please let me know.
 
Subscribe to my other newsletters here:
 
 
to Damon Verial’s Price Gap Stock Trader for only $1 and if you sign up this week, you’ll get our LPPL Report at no extra cost.  Use Discount Code PGS1 when signing up.
 
Regards,
 
Carl Adams, Publisher
 
PS – Sign up today and get our popular LPPL Report that will show you how this bull market will end.  CLICK HERE TO SIGN UP  and don’t forget to USE DISCOUNT CODE PGS1 when signing up.

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qqq spy rsi

Good morning Traders,

Here are our oil options trades:

USO Call Options

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USO BULL PUT CREDIT TRADES

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The Jobs Report

Good morning Traders,
 
Back in 2005, Mark McMillan joined us writing an ETF Trading Service.  The service comes with access to his personal chat room.  For the past two years, we’ve closed the service to new subscribers, but as he approaches his 10 year anniversary with us this June, we’re opening it back up to let new subscribers in.  One of the reasons is that we see a significant correction developing in the markets – and we want to make our most experienced advisors available to you to help you through it.  This condition doesn’t happen all that often in history, and I’ll walk through it below. 
 
 
So what do we see?
 
Dow 1929 - Subscribe Now
In this first chart, we see a LPPL Curve of the DOW JONES approaching the 1929 top.   This Log Periodic Power Law curve is a formulation that fits when you get a series of higher highs and higher lows and cycles and depth diminishing in time. 
 
Here’s the DOW JONES approaching the 2008 top:
 
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This pattern repeats again in the DOW approaching the 2008 top.  It’s repeated before most crashes and bubbles going back to the beginning of markets. 
 
So what does it mean for us?
 
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The above chart shows the rapid climb in the USD index.  But it also shows the QQQs (Nasdaq 100) since the 2009 stock market bottom.  And you guessed it, a perfect LPPL structure.  This doesn’t bode well for financial markets.  But the question is always WHEN will the bubble burst?
 
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We’re always looking for signs of things breaking down in the economy.  With Jobs, they’re always bullish at a top.  As a divergence develops, it can lead or confirm a bearish move in the markets.
 
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Above we see a component of sentiment in the market – and an uptick in uncertainty.  This condition normally exists before corrections.  Corrections come about because Imitation is a big driver in the market.  We’ll have more on that later…
 
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And our last chart above shows the ECRI data – the uptick is bullish for the markets and part of our mid term call for a final thrust higher into April/May and then for things to get ugly…
 
Since 2005, Mark McMillan has been writing a daily article on the financial markets.  That type of experience is hard to come by.  Not only to see market turns over the past decade plus, but to advise traders how to position (or not to) through the move. 
 
And access to his personal chat room where you can hear him talk and address issues intra day – makes this opportunity that much better!
 
And we’ll throw in a 52-page presentation on Bubbles that will blow your mind and help you understand what to expect when this market collapses.
 
All for only $1.  
 
 
Don’t forget to USE DISCOUNT CODE TMP1 when signing up.
 
Regards,
 
Carl Adams, Publisher
 
PS – Again, this is a limited time offer, so subscribe today and join Mark’s subscribers in the chat room during the trading day.  CLICK HERE TO SIGN UP  and don’t forget to USE DISCOUNT CODE TMP1 when signing up.